Saturday, April 29, 2023

Knowing Gnosticism

 TIK History: The REAL Religion Behind National Socialism is Gnosticism. TIK explains what that is.

To understand politics progressive politics you need to understand Gnosticism and what I call "the deeper truth" that only a select group can perceive and is unavailable to the ignorant masses.  It's OK to lie and distort when talking to the rubes, as long as those lies conform to "the deeper truth" and move events in the right direction. Framing Donald Trump as a Russian spy was not a lie, it was just a way of conveying the deeper truth that Donald Trump was a threat to the progressive movement that is "moving" to a better future. The frame job was a way of conveying that truth to the superstitious rabble, who suffer from false patriotism.  True American Patriots are not loyal to the flawed status quo but to a future America washed clean of the sins of the past and present.

The left will often champion people who are guilty of crimes.  This confused me for a time. Then I would learn that their reasoning for why the person should be set free was, well, esoteric. Finally, it occurred to me that anyone can rally around an innocent person but it will take a potential convert to the movement to promote the cause of the esoterically innocent -- in other words, when he really did shoot the deputy.

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Inflatable Nation

Even a Recession Might Not Tame Inflation

Is it really that bad? Nah, it's worse. It's that "slowly, slowly all at once" problem.

Dealing with US inflation needs to account for the foreign entities that hold so many dollars for purposes that don't often align with our own (our declared enemies have a lot of it). Basically, the dollars will be used in a mercantilist manner to further the interest of these rulers -- often at the expense of the average American worker.

For the moment the dollar won't be replaced in international trade because it's backed by US real estate. We don't like the CCP buying American farmland in "State of Rode Island" sized batches, but the possibility of doing that in a pinch is a big attraction for the dollar (and land is an excellent inflation hedge). If we say, "No more of that, you'll have to buy Fords instead," then their dollars will flood back into the US to buy land and other assets while they still can. At this point, the world will stop trading its goods for our debt.

As international trade collapses, there's less need for US debt as "good" collateral for trade among third-party nations. With foreigners less willing to swap their goods for our debt, the supply of goods drys up just as more dollars race into the domestic market, sparking more asset inflation but not job creation. This likely results in high-interest rates to encourage foreigners to hold onto their bonds. Meanwhile, the Fed funds the government through the printing press and further fuels inflation.

Inflation could be used to lower the burden of the $31 trillion National Debt -- if we balanced the budget. But why do that if you can sell more and more debt at near-zero rates with foreigners willing to buy a lot of it? Well, things that can't go on forever, won't -- and we are heading for a wall of won't (so prepare a bolthole in New Zealand).

Monday, April 3, 2023

The Winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election Is...

Peter Zeihan makes his prediction for 2024 and he sees a rematch between Trump and Biden with a Biden win because swing voters such as Peter will go for the Democrats.

In 2016 I did not want Trump to get the nomination (I thought he was a moderate Democrat) but I told friends that the media did. By attacking Trump they could raise his numbers among the Republican base that hates the left-leaning media.  Meanwhile, their attacks would turn Peter Zeihan against Trump for the general election, ushering in large Democratic majorities. There weren't enough Peters, so it didn't quite work out that way.

There is an insider/outsider dynamic in presidential races -- which is why governors often make good candidates. In 2016 Trump was an outsider. In 2020 he stood onstage with a bunch of Washington insiders while the nation closed down -- plus it's hard for any president to escape responsibility for things that go wrong, even if it's caused by his political enemies (ie, mostly peaceful riots, etc).

For 2024 we see the media and the Democrats running the 2016 strategy. They've turned the race into the quintessential outsider running against the quintessential insider. The American people face only one political question: do you want everything in the nation run by a selected group of people in Washington D.C., plus their partners on  Wallstreet, in Silicon Valley, and that whole Hollywood/Davos globalist "you will own nothing and be happy or else" community.  I call this result "feudalism with the right people in charge." All the other issues are there to disguise that central issue. If Trump and the Republicans stay focused on that one question, they stand an excellent chance.


Monday, March 20, 2023

Scratch a Socialist and you'll likely find...

TIK has an interesting video on why Oswald Mosley turned to Fascism

You don't need to know much about Mosley or British history to get a better understanding of politics -- pretty much everywhere -- by watching it. For someone raised in the Midwest, I know a lot of British history. However, I didn't realize that pre-industrialization three-fourths of the children died before they were five -- I thought it was more like two-thirds.

Interestingly, Mosley could drift through the British ruling class with a rather consistent set of beliefs and still be a Conservative, a Liberal, a Socialist, a Keynesian, and a Fascist, without much of a change in his basic outlook.

Saturday, March 18, 2023

They Are Delicious (but with too much bad fat)

 Over at Sp!ked, Joel Kotkin says:

The rich are eating themselves

The oligarchs are playing a dangerous game by pouring trillions into woke causes.

Beware of plutocrats bearing gifts. The annual clown show at Davos epitomises how today, the global elites have embraced an unholy trinity of ‘progressive’ doctrines: climate-change apocalypticism, a belief in systemic racism and racial ‘equity’, and radical gender ideology. The super-rich hope that by genuflecting to these causes, they can buy themselves political protection and fend off the activists lurking in the ranks of their own companies. Yet, in the long run, this could end up fuelling their demise.

Thursday, March 16, 2023

The Reel Dancing Bankers

I find Comic Lite-Opera provides the best means of commentary on our various Global Financial Crisis-see, Crisis-sis...Crisis-eye. Anyways, in 2009 I started work on The Prodigals of Penance.

With banks collapsing I'm back at it. The opening number uses "The Dancing Bankers and Contortionists" as the chorus line for Artful Shortseller's production number. So, imagine my surprise when I discover our current GFC features videos of real dancing bankers and contortionists! SVB mimics <i>Glee</i>. I was trying to be a satirist, not a bank examiner! I'm currently struggling with the lyrics for the following song: You will own nothing. You will be happy. Or else. Wait, I think I just finished it. The Dancing Bankers will have their own number, "When the Short Seller Starts his Steal," which will look something like this, only with bankers.

Wednesday, March 15, 2023

The Prodigals of Penance, the "You got me in stitches" edition

This is Act I, Scene 2  and Scene 3 of The Prodigals of Penance, rewritten for the ages. Scene 1 is here

The lyrics to "Diplomatic Creep" may be sung to the tune of "With Cat Like Tread." Why anyone would want to do that, I would not know.

Setting: The Estate of Artful Shortseller. Art is sponsoring "The World Conference to Solve All Your Problems with One Foul Swipe." Art had his moment center stage. After he departs, others arrive.

Characters:
Sadye "Sad" Poppins (former child activist, now a 18+ one)
Hamlet Omlet: The studier of studies in Shortseller's study. 
EU Leaders (in tuxes and top hats)
BBC Journalists (Pants Suits)
President Cleave
Sec. of State, Tempest Teapot (former Starlet and Yale Drama Major) 
Secretary of the Treasury, and Political Hack, Timothy "Tinny" Tinsmith
Administration Foreign Policy Advisers (Tie-dyed)
U.S. Journalists (They carry pom-poms, and file the same story)
Lawyer/Lobbyists

Scene 2: Europe Gets its Act Together.

As Artful Shortseller and "The Dancing Central Bankers" leave the stage, a sad Poppins enters. 

SAD POPPINS (spoken)
Geez. I wonder. Did Shortseller make his fortune in undergarments?
(Sings and sways) 
My name is Sadye Poppins!
But depressed I am, often.
I'm often depressed
'Cause the world is a mess.
I feel sad, I feel sad,
So-so sad -- often.
So call me sad -- sad, sad. Sad! Poppins.
  (looks)
But Hark, who approaches?
Is he a groper
Or a doper? (looks closer)
Oh, it's Hamlet Om-uh-let.
They say he's quite intellegent.
He has a cute rear...
But his expression is -- severe! (hides)
 
HAMLET OMLET (He calculates as he walks)
In Shortseller's Study,
I write my own study,
That studies...the studies of others. (He ponders)
Whose studies combined,
Bring no peace of mind...
They should be terrific.
Quite scien-tific!
 
But conclusions are often reached,
With a stretch -- sometimes a leap!
Simple arithmetic,
Could cause a science...rift! 
It's very confusing, brother.
My head's a mess, mother.

SAD POPPINS (to the audience)
If he calls me his sister,
His lip will get a blister.

HAMLET OMLET (wanders off)
Shortseller's actions, I fear,
Pour Poison in Science's ear.
Its spirit now haunts me,
Like some mental dis-ease.
The tables been set,
The eggs cracked, and yet,
The Omlets so frantically cooked,
Don't look, or taste, so good.
 
SAD POPPINS (to the audience)
Shortseller has all the bucks.
Hamlet should stay on the bus.
Ride into the dawn,
As Shortseller's fawn.
Then, what the heck,
Just cash the check. 
He's cute,
But a dispute,
Will turn ugly. 
 
HAMLET OMLET
If I fulfill my grant...as they insist...
My granters will be...mighty pissed.
The study performed
Will earn me their scorn. 
I find it very troublesome.
I fear I'm in...trouble...some...
(Hamlet Omlet wanders off) 

SAD POPPINS (spoken)
Gee. He's so depressed, I'm feeling better.
(looks in another direction, sings)
I see a new group approach.
Should I give them a pass...or a reproach?
They seem a well-dressed bunch.
Are they here...to serve us lunch?
Maybe it's food, but Maybe it's theft.
Should I call the guards, or the Chef?

(a line of people approaches from the right)
FIRST IN LINE
I shall eliminate your confusion.
I lead the European Union.
SAD POPPINS
Your union's a sight.
Are you leading a strike?
SECOND IN LINE (shoving the first)
I'm not second on the ladder!
I am also, the leader, who matters.
SAD POPPINS (warming to the cause)
For better pay! (fist shake)
More holidays!
FIRST IN LINE (to the second)
But she can plainly see
That I am in the lead.
I am, the leading -- leader!

THIRD IN LINE
We are all equals here,
Leading from the rear!
Stop the chatter!
There are...No rungs...On! Our ladder.

SECOND IN LINE
No rungs and what is more --
There's no rug upon our floor.

ALL
Or doormats at our door.
Our scoreboards don't keep score,
We live in -- one great crater!
We won't argue -- who's greater.

THIRD IN LINE
It isn't really news,
That we all lead this crew.

SECOND IN LINE
We're ho's without a pimp.
(points)
Except for him!

FOURTH IN LINE
But I'm a leader, too!

FIRST IN LINE (Pointing at four)
He's got me so confused.
Our Union's been abused!
But we can't show him the door...
So just bury him -- in the moor!

FOURTH IN LINE
That would mean war!
We are leaders all,
Unless...
 Our governments should fall.

ALL (To Sad Poppins)
Our ladder has no rungs.
That song's -- been sung.
We're now having a sale,
On everything -- that's stale.

FIRST IN LINE
And leadership is our loss leader!

FOURTH IN LINE (spoken)
We're a fellowship,
That practices follow-ship.
SAD POPPINS (spoken)
So...you're not on strike?

(Sad Poppins is quite confused and leaves while another group enters)

BBC JOURNALISTS (entering)
The Administration is on the March
From Jumbo Jets, they disembark.
It's like they've emptied Noah's ark.

VARIOUS EU LEADERS
Intelligence is what we need.
So we will hide among the trees
...listen from among the leaves.
Ah, BBC!
Watch those poisonous spiders march.
Report their wicked weaves with snark.

The BBC Journalists go to greet the Americans, chanting "Tarantulas! Tarantula, tarantula -- tarantulas!" as they go.

Scene Three: A Simulated Stimulus

As the PRESIDENTIAL ADVISERS enter they whisper amongst themselves:  "Remember, no arrogance! Those lackeys don't like it / Shush, no condescension, that's worse than arrogance! / We need a new song and dance. / Humble--but with newfound pride!"

Trumpets sound and they sing.

WITH DIPLOMATIC CREEP

PRESIDENTIAL ADVISERS
With Diplomatic Creep,
We stride History's Stage.
So shy and meek,
The World Turns, amazed.

Praise we spread in full
Without a boastful word.
We give credit to the Bull,
And the en-tire herd!

EU LEADERS
Like Mister Micawbers 
And in their Wimpy way;
 They'll borrow ten trillion dollars;
And say, "Some Tues-day, we'll re-pay."

BBC JOURNALISTS
Ta-ran-tulas, are spiders too.
And if they bite, then quickly sue.

Trumpets blare. Enter President Cleave, Sec. of State Tempest Teapot, Timothy Tinsmith, U. S. Journalistic Chorus (they double as backup singers), and the lawyer/lobbyist/activist mob.

US JOURNALISTS (pom-poms shaking)
Ra, ra, ra, ra, ra, ra...
 
PRESIDENT CLEAVE
I! Hail! Those who hail me!
Tell European Nations
Of Power abrogation!
EU LEADERS
War non-participation.
Ty-rants claim I’m a tease
As I implore “believe me, please.”

TEMPEST TEAPOT
Friends, speak of piracey,
And Risks to Navigation--

PRESIDENT CLEAVE (injects)
Have you seen my new Playstation?

BOTH (in harmony)
Mar-ry! Free Enterprise
With Socialism in disguise!

(Timothy Tinsmith carries a large bag of goodies, and croons to the lobbyists)

TIMOTHY TINSMITH 
Our national debt is huge,
It's true, 
Because we're indebted to you.
This debt we amass
'cause the past is an ass --
We owe you,
For the wonderful things you do,
And the horrible things, our nation has done.
Admitting -- is not much fun.

EU LEADERS
Much fun!
Confession is good for the soul.
So I'll say it again, quite slow.
It brings me no joy --
There's no need to be coy.
It makes me so sad...
That my nation's be-en-en-en bad.
EU LEADERS
Been so bad!
(Seems to hear an echo)
As the sins trickle down
From father to son
Our grandkids become...
The wet ones.
EU LEADERS
Grandchildren should not escape,
Their great-granddad's mistake.

TIMOTHY TINSMITH
For the mistakes our dads made,
Our grandchildren must pay.
They're in their playpens,
But The National Debt is on them.
EU LEADERS 
At our banquet, we shall toast,
After we've eaten the roast!
Those babies in their strollers,
The toddlers in their walkers...
The kids con-fined in,
Their little play-pens!
Since all our bills are for them.

TIMOTHY TINSMITH (Dances with the lawyers)
Here's your bail-out! And your stimulus money.
Do as you're told — and you’ll get more, Honey!
Your life preserver, please don’t go under.
For if you perish, you'll drown our thunder.
(To all) 
Piracy, should not be on the sea!
EVERYONE
It's an on-shored industry!
 
TIM (Throwing money to the wind; Cossack dancing)
Vary...fiscal...so-briety...
With a little Spending Spree!
EU LEADERS
Spree, Spree, Spree,
Spree, Spree,
Spree, Spree
Spree, Spre-e-e-e!

ALL ADVISERS (Shushing the crowd)
With Tim-o-thy!
We quietly deplore.
Income from Piracy
On Somalia’s shore.
And what about Kim,
Dear Leader’s Rocket Launch?
That’s why we scolded him
And told him “Lose your paunch.”
BBC JOURNALISTS:
Ta-ran-tulas! Are misunderstood.
Ta-ran-tulas! Do the world much good.
So meek-ah-ly, they point the way
That proud bow, is here to stay!

PRESIDENT CLEAVE (bowing)
As! I! approached King Saud.
I lost a contact lens
That's why I got the bends.
I! Told! Old King Saud,
“King, you better watch your step!”
EU LEADERS
Has he told Iran that yet?

PRESIDENTIAL ADVISERS/BBC JOURNALISTS
Our history is / a tarantula’s bite.
We admit that much / just ain't quite right.
We apologize / for trades in Slaves.
And to all those folks / who hide in caves.
We’re sorry for / the Atom bomb.
What Rock and Roll / has done to song.
We! Hail!
Those who hail Us...
EVERYONE
What's caused all the fuss!

 

END OF ACT ONE
US JOURNALISTS
Ra, rarararara...

Yes, there's more but I'll spare you (for now).

At first, I was concerned that I gave Art's private island a Private International Airport, but then I realized that playing host to so many Global Warming Conferences required one.