Friday, April 17, 2009

Phlegmatic Endtimer is...

Spengler! And who is Spengler? Spengler is not Uwe Parpart. Who is Uwe Parpart? Forget Uwe Parpart.

Asia Times Online :: Asian News, Business and Economy.
And Spengler is...


Saturday, April 11, 2009

Is this an exaggeration?

Barack Obama: President Pantywaist - new surrender monkey on the block :: Gerald Warner
President Barack Obama has recently completed the most successful foreign policy tour since Napoleon's retreat from Moscow.


Thursday, April 9, 2009

Our Collective Future

Belmont Club » Doppelganger
The Pew Research underscored to degree to which the middle political ground is vanishing rapidly. “For all of his hopes about bipartisanship, Barack Obama has the most polarized early job approval ratings of any president in the past four decades. The 61-point partisan gap in opinions about Obama’s job performance is the result of a combination of high Democratic ratings for the president — 88% job approval among Democrats — and relatively low approval ratings among Republicans (27%).”
I view the United States as close to being a one party state, and that Party is the DC Power Party. They seek to centralize more power, not just in Washington DC but in the hands of a Credentialed Aristocracy. This Aristocracy is not yet hereditary, but it is headed that way. You notice the groups that are the biggest boosters of “Affirmative Action” don’t mind nepotism (think Hollywood and Politics). Those who rant the most about “conflicts of interest” don’t think the concept applies to them and their close family members. Andrea Mitchel married to the Fed Chairman? What could be wrong with that? And what is wrong with a Senator bequeathing his seat to his daughter or his son? Even affirmative action, in practice, favored the daughters of this emerging order over the sons of sharecroppers.

When President Obama speaks of bipartisanship, he speaks of uniting this Aristocratic group into a permanent governing class. Of course Republicans cannot totally go along because they represent the “pockets of resistance.” These are folks who see themselves firmly on the other side of the divide and whose children will be out of favor in the credential hunt. They would not object to an aristocracy of merit and accomplishment — which is attacked as greed and selfishness by the Credentialed, since this would give upper middle class kids a leg up (especially if the parents instill drive and ambition in their kids). Interestingly, they would have a leg up on the poor and working class kids but be a threat to the Patrician class, who would like to flow into power the way the river flows to the sea.

As long as this Aristocracy could acquire more power as a class, it could grow and welcome new members (in fact, offering membership was a tool for acquiring power). But now they are reaching their “limits to growth” and they will need to cement their leadership in place and pull up the drawbridge behind them.  President Obama hopes to sponsor one last great push for centralizing power, but after that the class cannot grow by acquiring more power since the limits of centralization will be reached. A situation of low growth and controlled growth nationally, administered from the center, will help the new class keep control — so society itself must reach its “limits to growth.”

In the latest economic crisis we find the relationships among the various actors obscured and the causes portrayed as beyond our understanding. More and more we will find that the actors in the various dramas are in some sense related. And being a part of the same Aristocratic Class will not be a reason for recusal. Why be a member of a select class and give up the advantages?

In this Credentialed State, a lot of power accrues to the gate keepers of entry into the Aristocratic class — those who will grant “The Patents of Nobility.” Demanding that the novice display Fidelity to the emerging order by signing on to some rather bizarre ideas makes a lot of sense: it shows they are willing to suppress their individuality in the service of the new class (early in the process this looks like a “counter culture” of free thinkers and then emerges as the autocratic PC of the narrow minded). Of course, you are expected to do more than mouth these ideas; you are expected to believe them.

What infuriates liberals (read progressives) are arguments that make these ideas look as nonsensical as they sometimes are. Hence the new cliche, “Shut up, they explained.”

Of course this noble class has international dimensions.  And given the "Obama bow" to King Saud, one has to wonder if he is, perhaps, the granter of the "Patent of Nobility" to President Obama. Is it possible?  Nah.

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

I say to you King Saud, tear down this wall!

BBC NEWS | Europe | Obama pledges new US engagement
"We can't afford to talk past one another and focus only on our differences, or to let the walls of mistrust go up around us."

The president said part of that process involved giving people a better sense of the US and rejected the stereotype that his country was selfish and crass.

"I'm here to tell you that it's not the country I know and not the country I love," he added.
Now he tells us. But doesn't that sound a bit crass? In anycase, check the box marked "Islam."

Next stop in the Apology Tour is Latin America, where he will say: "We are not the Selfish and Crass imperialist I told you we are!"

How about Trust and Money?

BBC NEWS | South Asia | Pakistan calls for trust with US
Pakistan's leaders have told visiting US envoy Richard Holbrooke there must be trust between the nations as "nothing else will work".
Wait. Wait. Wait. OK, we can stop laughing now. Trust, but wait for the Terror Attacks. 

Well, if we get rid of our nukes they might get rid of theirs.  Trust but self delude.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

What's wrong with this statement?

BBC NEWS | South Asia | 'Deadly air strike' in Pakistan
A number of foreign militants were among those killed in the strike at 0300 local (2200 Friday), security officials said.

But a Taleban spokesman said all the dead were civilians.

If George Bush were still President, this is how it would read: A small number of foreign militants were thought to be attending a meeting at the house... according to security officials who requested to remain anonymous. Witnesses at the scene said all the dead were women and children preparing to attend a wedding.

The BBC goes on to inform us:
The drone attacks are said to be part of a new US strategy to eliminate the Taleban and al-Qaeda leadership who are reportedly operating from Pakistan's tribal region next to the border with Afghanistan, says the BBC's Shoaib Hasan in Islamabad.
There's an idea: Kill the leadership, not innocents. Why didn't President Bush think of that?

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Holy Cows ain't allowed on account of the Methane they produce.

Op-Ed Columnist - The Next Really Cool Thing - NYTimes.com
But what if this time is different? What if a laser-powered fusion energy power plant that would have all the reliability of coal, without the carbon dioxide, all the cleanliness of wind and solar, without having to worry about the sun not shining or the wind not blowing, and all the scale of nuclear, without all the waste, was indeed just 10 years away or less? That would be a holy cow game-changer.

In the meantime we can build coal fire plants and develop our oil resources instead of letting the Democrats systematically sabotage our economy.  Why not?  In ten years we can start replacing these sources of energy with fusion.

What Progressives like about wind and solar power and electric vehicles is that they are costly.  This will keep a huge regulatory bureaucracy up in running to administer the preferences required to keep them going.  Progressives are attracted to "Solutions" that enhance their power and control.

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

A Scam for our time.

I received a phone call offering me a good job. Natch I figured it was some sort of joke. In any case, after I hung up I googled the offer, just in case I had screwed my future.


FHA Home insurance processing work at home scam, make 38,000 a year - Google Search
Search Results
1.
Be Cautious of FHA Job and Refund Offers — Mortgage Loan Place Blog
I received the same call with the possibility of 38000 per year. ... they were just another work at home scam…and certainly didnt seem right….a refund on an fha ... For only $69.00 you can make up to $38000 a year from home. ... me about a job paying $39000.00 per year; work from home processing FHA Refund Notices. ...
www.mortgageloanplace.com/blog/2007/05/03/be-cautious-of-fha-job-and-refund-offers/ - 38k - Cached - Similar pages
2.
whocalled.us / 971-285-3130
2009-01-08 20:24:01 UTCFHA. The FHA says this is a scam .... a starting package for FHA refunds,can make up to $ 38000 a year. ... do business from your home processing Government refunds to Home Owners who have paid off their mortgage. ..... They claim to offer work at home employment for 38K per year if you pay ...
whocalled.us/lookup/9712853130 - 64k - Cached - Similar pages
It troubles me that even the scam job offers I get are not that good. I'd feel better if I was offered a bit North of $250,000. It shows you how rough the economy is. A few years ago, they would have offered a couple hundred grand as part of a part time, work at home flipping houses scam. I got to wonder: why the cut in wages? It is not like they ever actually paid anyone.

That in Obama's America folks are now tempted by such meager sums is sobering.

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Extreme Politics

Edge 219
In the modern world, science and society often interact in a perverse way. We live in a technological society, and technology causes political problems. The politicians and the public expect science to provide answers to the problems. Scientific experts are paid and encouraged to provide answers. The public does not have much use for a scientist who says, “Sorry, but we don’t know”. The public prefers to listen to scientists who give confident answers to questions and make confident predictions of what will happen as a result of human activities. So it happens that the experts who talk publicly about politically contentious questions tend to speak more clearly than they think.
I just watched Extreme Ice on Nova, in which "an acclaimed photographer teams up with scientists to document the runaway melting of arctic glaciers." The episode was half good (and all bad) at explaining the science of glacier melting (if I may call it that). However, it excelled at illustrating the wisdom of the above quote by Freeman Dyson. The show was a saturated in, and ruined by, the politics of global warming. It was full of scientist "who speak more clearly than they think." That's the way they were presented by Nova. In a one hour show, I heard one guy speak of his "hypothesis" (that warm ocean water was speeding the "calving" of icebergs from glaciers), and, though he sounded mighty sure of himself, he at least used a word that acknowledged the possibility of error. The others, as presented, barely gave a nod toward "doubt."

Freman Dyson went on to write,
"As a scientist I do not have much faith in predictions." Well, this show was chalk full of predictions, from the ridiculous to the sublime, extending out a hundred years and beyond. If you believe this show, we really need President Obama to sweep back the Oceans rising waters.

I said the program was half good and all bad at explaining the science, and perhaps I should explain what I mean. They often used the phrase "the last thirty years" when discussing the time frame of the "runaway melting." This period corresponds roughly with the end of the last "solar minimum," when the sun produces less warming rays, and the run up to the latest "solar maximum" -- when the sun produces relatively more. From about 60 to 80 percent of the increased warming during that period was likely caused by the activity of the sun, not the activity of man. And yet this was never mentioned on the program. To not address the effects of sunlight on a large body of ice -- to not treat it as a variable -- is bizarre. So no matter how good the science was on that program, it was all bad because it left the untidy bits out -- even the untidy data mountains.

These folks want us to spend 45 trillion dollars over the next fifty years or so and their approach would make hell's most vile use car salesman blush.


Thursday, March 26, 2009

A Song for All Time.

I started work on a production number for Belmont Club (The Musical), inspired by this post from Wretchard, The pits (the song, with a bit of opening dialog, follow):
Comments in some of the most recent Belmont Club posts have been haunted by what Scott Johnson and Victor Davis Hanson have called depression. No longer do people put forward solutions as much as despair of solutions until the prevailing conditions change or the national mood shifts. Afghanistan? Well it’s no good discussing it until someone serious is in office. The economy? We’re all doomed so let’s just measure the rate of our decline...

What probably keeps the world from being hijacked by the melancholy of intellectuals are its ordinary people. The world’s sanity is upheld by people who haven’t watched the movies and haven’t attended Harvard. The BBC reported a survey showed that Nigerians were the happiest people in the world.
I am not depressed nor do I feel despair. What is my secret? I just whistle. Whistle? Yes, whistle.

Just whistle while you walk
Do-dee do, do, do, do, do!
Just whistle while you walk,
Pass the graveyard.
(Pass the graveyard)

Should you find you're in despair
Because you're totally aware.
Go ahead, just deny.
Live life on the fly and whistle
Pass the graveyard.

If you find you’re feeling blue
’cause work no longer needs you.
After you’re laid off
Just whistle as you walk!
Pass the graveyard.

If you were a Nigerian
You’d be happy just to own a hen.
And when the militias came
if you weren’t the ball in some game.
At the graveyard.
(In the graveyard)

If there’s a planetary war
And you’re terrified to the core.
Just put on your boots and do skidoot
And whistle! Yes Whistle.
Passed the graveyard!

They say VX is a gas
And it will really kill you fast.
Don’t argue it ain't fair
Just spit out your cares...

Lay your cards on the table
And whistle (if you're able)...

OK...

Say you're dead and just don't know!
Then continue with the flow.
And Go!
Past, the Graveyard!
(Get Past, the Graveyard)
(Done with Rockette style kicks)
Turn your Depression upside down
Wear a smile, hardly ever frown!
Do as we do and whoop-we-doo
And whistle! Yes, whistle.
Past the graveyard.

Do-dee Doo-doo do!

I'm thinking this could be a duet between a Basso profundo and an Alto, tremble-a-lot oh, my. It should be sung to the tune of, well, ah, Stairway to Heaven.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Who wants to buy a Toxic Asset!

Pajamas Media » Geithner Bank Plan: A ‘Third Way’

I left the following as a comment to the above article.
I think they should turn it into a game show: Who Wants to Buy a Toxic Asset.

You show up with a bundle of “toxic” assets and it is valued by, say, ten groups of money men who are fronted by sexy models. But the first step is “Government roulette.” A wheel is spun, and purely by chance the government will offer you anything from 10 cents on the dollar to, say, 60 cents on the dollar (about a hundred to one shot for the high amount).

If you refuse the government offer, you then get to choose among the boxes that contain the offer of the various money men. You open the first three boxes at random. You get to choose the highest bid. If you open the next five, you get to choose the second highest bid but it is bought by the highest bidder. If you open the next two, you get the highest bid and the highest bidder buys it. But once you decide there, is no going back.

You might need the contestant to spin the wheel a few more times, and have cheering Wall Street types shouting advice. You know, to help the ratings.
My comment is awaiting moderation, and the moderator may be a moderate and decide not to post it so I put it here. The article explains why the Geithner plan might "actually work."
 
My plan definitely will work.



Sunday, March 22, 2009

Setting the Record Straight

The Death of Catherine the Great
The Myths:
1. Catherine was crushed to death by a horse whilst attempting to have sex with it (usually the collapse of a harness/lifting mechanism is blamed).
2. Catherine died on the toilet.

The Truth (1):
Catherine died in bed of illness; there were no equines involved and a Catherine/horse nexus was never attempted.
I was once told the horse, harness, hoist and collapsing scaffolding story by a person with a graduate degree in European history. I did voice skepticism at the time. But it is a good story and just in case I ever passed it on I want to set the record straight here: Catherine the Great died while having sex with a horse. I mean didn't die. Having sex. With a horse.

The Vanity Fairness Doctrine

According to Michael Wolff, Barack Obama Is a Terrible...Bore
What happens when you move into the White House?

Well, shit, of course. The true secret of the power of language is in quickness. Barack Obama can’t keep up. He evidently needs too much preparation. And then there’s the organization. He’s undoubtedly got too many people debating what he should say. That’s the other secret of language: You’ve got to just go for it. Can’t think too much about it. It’s like hitting the ball. And then there’s knowing who you want to be—which is different than knowing who you are. You’re on the stage. You’re acting. You’ve got to make yourself believable, cleverly make yourself up as you go along.

This guy is leaden and this show is in trouble.
Yes, Michael, but what is it that he is actually doing that you don't like? I gather it ain't the dumb things he is doing, it is the fact that he sounds dumb when he talks about the dumb things he's doing.

As for his present presentation, President Obama showed all the qualities you now abhor during The Campaign, astute observer person.

Mr. Wolff is a contributing Editor to Vanity Fair. I wonder who he supported in the fall?

Rifling through the archives, I stumbled across what he said about Sarah Palin just before the election:

Sarah Palin, bedeviling her handlers, isn't the nail in the heart of the McCain campaign as much as she is the creation of a new American personality.

Her failure is a huge success. There is enormous upside in finding yourself a national joke. Ridicule converts easily to affection.
If Michael keeps ridiculing Obama, I will develop a true affection for the guy. The only question is: Which guy?

Friday, March 20, 2009

Taking the Pressure off Tehran

BBC NEWS | Americas | Obama offers Iran 'new beginning'
US President Barack Obama has offered "a new beginning" of engagement with Tehran in an unprecedented direct video message to the Iranian people...

In it, President Obama said he wanted "to speak directly to the people and leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran".
So President Obama is now engaged with the Mullahs. When will the marriage take Place? Obama's dowry: more or less telling the Iranian people he will not support a revolution against their newly legitimized government -- about the only thing that government really fears. Bonus item: the always rickety sanctions regime will collapse well before the marriage is consummated. And the Mullahs will abuse their lovely spouse and cheat -- and when he finds out he won't like it!

If his policy is to get the Russians to play the heavy with Tehran while the "O" makes nice, I don't see it working.

This engagement with the Mullahs also announces that a bunch of naive punks are going to engage in Middle East "realpolitik" and make nice-nice to all the local toughs. America, prepare to have your lunch money stolen and your nose bloodied.

Friday, March 13, 2009

Think Sink

Obama: Economic crisis 'not as bad as we think'
"And my long-term projections are highly optimistic, if we take care of some of these long-term structural problems."
What Mr. Obama is saying here is that he has to put the structural problems, such as socialized health care, in place before he can take care of them. But he will also have to hire the bureaucrats to care for the structural problems. Think of "Affordable housing." The Democrats created the structural problem, cared for it, kept it on life support and dialysis and even now won't let it die. They now got it to the point where you can't afford your house, but the people who don't have to pay their mortgages can -- now that it is worth half what you paid for it.

Before the structural problem could get that acute it required a lot of care and feeding by Congressional Democrats. But that structural problem should not be worried. Its "care givers" will still be at work when everyone else is laid off.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Thought Thaw Needed

BBC NEWS | Science & Environment | Earth warming faster than thought

Easy to believe the headline: their thoughts are frozen in place. "Give us power or give us a better retirement package! In fact give us both."

This from the Danish PM, Foghorn Leghorn Rasmussen: "Business as usual is dead - green growth is the answer to both our climate and economic problems."

Actually, they murdered business in a regulatory killing spree.  Government as usual, however, is bigger and better -- make that bigger and bigger -- than ever.  And ever is mighty big.

Don't worry, once the bureaucrats take over the world economy everything will be hunky-dory. For them.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Stoner Econ 101

Belmont Club » Eve of Destruction 2
The financial systems reached the limits of its information span last year by walking off a cliff they didn’t see. And the trick is to see the next cliff. What steps will create more information out of the data instead of more walls, more partitions, more black boxes?
Applying the basic tenets of Stoner Economics might help us understand the financial crisis, and our response to it.

a) In stoner economics, lenders owe borrowers.

For instance, you are in a bar and a friend borrows twenty dollars. No sooner does he borrow the bucks than he acts like you owed him the money. Let's say you put in the effort to get the twenty back. Now he’s shown he’s “good for it,” so you owe him forty — the twenty you always owed him and the twenty he just gave you. So later on you “lend” him the forty. Only now you are short on cash, so naturally you borrow twenty from another friend so you can have someone who owes you. But he was a little short so he borrowed twenty from the guy you just lent the forty to. Meanwhile, you’ve opened up a tab at the bar and bought everyone drinks. In the end, only the bar actually gets paid. By you, of course.

In the case of money market funds, you should add seven or eight zeros to the above amounts.

When you are asked to pay your neighbor's mortgage or to help finance the next bailout, remember: Lenders owe borrowers.

b) In stoner economics the sum of all transactions is always less than zero.

Say you have some dope, and you have some money, and you want to get high. So you smoke the dope and you get high. Later, you want to get high, you don’t have any dope but you do have some money. So you buy some dope and you get high. Later, you want to get high but you don’t have any dope and you don’t have any money. So you borrow some money, you buy some dope, and you get high. Later, you want to get high, but you don’t have dope, you don’t have money and you are in debt. So you don’t pay your rent and you buy some dope and you get high. Later, you want to get high. But you don’t have dope, you don’t have money, you owe money, and you haven’t paid your rent. So you hit up your grandmother, who is a little forgetful but can still sign a check.

We have now reached the final stage, but we cannot hit up our grandma for her past thrift (we kinda maybe already spent that) but we can hit up our grandkids — trade on their future labor, you might say.

But why were the sums in the example less than zero? After all, the dope was always bought. But the stoner is not doing what the squares used to call “useful work.” He is hustling to get high. And the money goes into the drug market, where maybe it hires mules and stuff but is generally not productive for the entire economy. So it all adds up to less than Zero. Not only is the money misspent, but so is a lot of the time and effort connected to it.

An economic bubble also encourages a lot of wasted time and effort. When the bubble deflates, it all goes up in smoke.

Basically, an investment should produce a return and in a bubble the returns are imaginary.

c) One of my pet peeves about President Obama is his use of the word “investing” to replace “spending.” So we invest in giving his voters raises and whatnot.

But I now realize he is using basic Stoner Economics. In Stoner Economics:

-Spending that makes you feel good is an investment.
-That in which you invest, you quickly consume.
-The bigger the investment, the quicker the consumption.
-The “Investors” who provide the “Capital to feel good” were often unwilling providers of funds (they was robbed).
-Those involved in the investment can take a hit (share the joy).
-Everyone is responsible for their own bad trip (so don't worry about unintended consequences).

I’m looking for the mathematical model I developed for Stoner Economics. I got it around here somewhere. I hope I find it. I couldn't repeat the intellectual exercise (hell, I might not even survive it).

Someone tell him Bush is no longer President.

Europe Snubs US Calls for Further Spending - Economy * Europe * News * Story - CNBC.com
Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of a meeting of euro zone finance ministers, rejected the notion that European governments' fiscal policy was not aggressive enough.

"The 16 finance ministers agreed that recent American appeals insisting Europeans make an added budgetary effort were not to our liking, given that we are not prepared to go further in the recovery packages we have put forward," he told reporters in Brussels after ministers held regular talks.


Not to their liking indeed!

Is Syria Involved?

BBC NEWS | Middle East | 'Dozens dead' in Baghdad bombing
At least 33 people, including a local army chief, have died and 46 have been injured in a suicide attack on the western edge of Baghdad, officials say.


Syria sponsors many a car bomb in Lebanon. Keeping Iraq in turmoil could serve them well. Plus, they would want to take out the competition to their own guys.

"Talking" to Syria is like giving them a license to do no good. It wouldn't surprise me if they reverted to form.

Monday, March 9, 2009

What you missed was everything before the election.

FT.com / Columnists / Clive Crook - Why Obama’s left leaning is no tactical feint
If Mr Obama were a centrist he would be positioning himself to the right of the congressional Democrats, with a plan to be walked back in their direction. In fact, his budget has delighted the left of his party. Far from pulling him to the centre, most Democrats will resist that move if he tries. Or am I missing something?


That's how Mr. Cook ended the article. He began it with this:

On this page last week I argued that Barack Obama’s first budget showed him to be more of a left-leaning liberal than I and many others – sceptics and admirers alike – had previously supposed.


Everything we knew about President Obama before the election told us that he was quite liberal and perhaps a Marxist as well. It was his policy to lose the Iraq war, for Pete's sake. Come on Clive, pay attention. Everything he's doing now he said he would do. Oh, there were some obvious lies (see everything about clean coal and oil drilling). But Clive, are you delusional? Well, you say you welcome "cap and trade" so I guess you are.

Saturday, March 7, 2009

Hope Preserved

I originally posted this story one year ago, when our current President was first making a big splash. I think it holds up rather well.

First, for those unfamiliar with the Great Depression, I will explain some of the references in the story:

  • The "New Deal" refers to a collection of Federal Programs enacted during the Administration of Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR) in response to the Great Depression of the 1930's. Before the New Deal the Federal Government was in charge of National Security and coining the money. After the New Deal the Feds are basically in charge of whatever they want to be in charge of.
  • Harold Ickes was one of the chief architects of the New Deal. His son worked for the Clintons and George Soros financed 547 political groups.
  • The New Deal created a "Alphabet Soup" of new agencies. The WPA (Works Progress Administration), the NRA (National Recovery Administration), and the CCC (Civilian Conservation Corps) -- to name but a few.
  • The TVA (Tennessee Valley Authority) built dams and power generators over a multi state region. In 1964 Barry Goldwater, the Republican candidate, called for its privatization and lost 44 states.
  • Shangri-la is the magical Himalayan Utopia in the novel "Lost Horizons." It is not a real place so do not mount an anthropological expedition to go study the residents. FDR cited it as the secret base from which the Doolittle bombing raid on Tokyo was launched. He lied.
  • Rod Axle is based on a real person but not the one you're thinking of. No, not him (her?) either.


A BEDTIME STORY FOR THE AMERICAN ECONOMY


Boys and girls, once upon a time there was a celebrated political hack and manipulative genius by the name of Rod Axle. Despite what you may have heard, a professional political hack is not necessarily a bad person. Narrow minded people use to believe this, but we now recognize the many great and varied contributions Political Hacks have made to our society: the current state of our politics comes readily to mind.

One day Rod Axle meets a handsome, well spoken fellow that he thinks will make a wonderful "canned" Candidate for President. He is a newly elected Senator by the name of Audacious Hope: known nationally as "Otto" Hope, the man for whom hope is both "Otto-matic" and "Otto-magic." He is the son of disgruntled immigrants. His parents moved here from Shangri-la and were always a bit disappointed in their new home -- it rains at inconvenient times, for instance, and people grow old and die. But they concealed their dissatisfaction from their son, who grew up well adjusted, considering.

Rod Axle loves his new candidate because when Otto fronts the crowd he doesn't get his lines tangled. When he calls for a "yes we can, A-Merry-Can, Revolution!" the crowds go wild. Grown men faint, often onto the grown women who fainted just before them (this is not a new form of sex, by the way, just an old position).

Senator Hope is not confused by the many levers Axle must employ on the voters. That is because Otto is no dummy. And he certainly has no desire to be a puppet on a string.

Otto Hope wonders where Rod Axle is getting all this premium canned cant that Otto daily feeds the crowds. At the same time, he does not want to be too dependent on any one manipulative political hack, no matter how genius that hack is or how much the nation owes him -- another form of national debt.

So one night he follows Rod Axle in an attempt to find the source of his cant. Rod Axle drives a heavy duty truck to a secret complex of subterranean tunnels that date from the mystic days of FDR -- The New Deal Bunkers where The New Deal Bunk is stored. At the loading dock, crates of well aged Bunkum are loaded onto Rod Axle's truck.

While they are so occupied, Audacious Hope sneaks into the complex. Fortunately for him, it is guarded by the Department of Homeland Security. Inside, he finds a huge warehouse with many large crates stacked to the ceiling. He follows footprints through the dust. The path leads to The Harold Ickes Memorial Bureaucratic Maze. Above the entrance is written this admonition "Abandon All Hope, You Who Enter Here!" Otto assumes this does not apply to him, since he brings hope with him wherever he goes. In fact, this would be the perfect place to spread hope around. So he enters without reading the rhyming couplet on the bronze plaque: "Oh what a tangled web we create!" the gold plated letters read, "When e'er we seek to regulate!"

The halls of the maze are clean but devoid of life -- 5:00 PM has come and gone. The mauve walls have the same landscape painting hung at each five meter interval: horse country shrouded in mist. The floor is carpeted and padded. Still, you must tread the halls carefully, for if you make a wrong turn in this labyrinth you might be lost permanent. You'll need a posse of lobbyist and hordes of special interest pleaders to come find you. Step into one of the many traps or slip into a cubicle of horrors and you might be forced to take a position, in fact the very position you most fear. Or you could step through a tax loophole and have it close behind you. But all Audacious Hope need do is follow a trail of crumbs that charts a course down the many corridors.

Occasionally he would pass a waiting room where periodicals from previous centuries were spread on the benches. In one such room a skeleton slumps in the corner. In its left hand it grasps a "Saturday Evening Post" in its bony fingers. In the right it holds a "wait your turn" card with a twelve digit number. Otto sees there are now only 345,682 to go for "dried bones." The skeleton is covered in cobwebs but the other surfaces have recently been dusted. Obviously, the cleaning crew is considerate and does not disturb "he who waits his turn," even to dust him.

The crumb trail leads down the corridor of power, where the steam pipes and electric cables run. Behind him Otto hears the sound of a dozen vacuum cleaners switch on. He checks his watch. It is 9 PM and the cleaners have arrived. Since they are undocumented workers, they have easy access to every part of the complex. Senator Hope realizes with a shock the workers will "suck it up" as they always do -- the crumb trail that leads out. Now there's no turning back.

At the end of the corridor he sees a large, mechanical monstrosity. The sight of it fills him with dread. He approaches it slowly. It hisses hot steam and gives an occasional chug, like a worn out "massive engine that could." Yes, it is at rest; asleep. But it is not to be wakened and played with. It is the Democratic Machine, with its many levers and fly wheels and clashing special interest and balancing gyroscopes which can point the machine in every direction at once while it pins down every position. And it also has fingers -- a finger to put in every pie. And it has a pry for every prize. Yes, he could easily turn the machine on. But then he'd have to feed the slot with money and favors and keep on feeding forever. Otherwise the machine will turn on him. And the fingers for the pies will poke him in the eyes. So Senator Hope tip-toes by.

As he tip-toes, movement in the shadows startles him. With relief he realizes it is the harmless, undocumented workers. They move about with so much stealth they are all but invisible. He hopes to cure that -- to bring them into the sunlight. But he realizes a Senator does not belong in the bureaucratic maze and he must reach his destination before he can help them. Until then, they can help themselves.

He looks for a way out. He sees a door with a hand print on it -- Rod Axle's hand print. That, he feels, is the way to go. It leads into "The Fair Trade Hall of Mirrors."

He steps through the door and enters a room that instantly fills with Audacious Hope, the way he imagines rooms do when he enters. Here thousands of the Audacious stare back at him. They reflect on him. They move as he moves. They act as one with him. As he reaches out to them, they reach out to him -- and to each other. And he knows they think as he thinks and feel as he feels. Otto realizes he is on top of himself. He sees he is beside himself. But suddenly he feels he is by himself, even as he crowds about himself.

He's anxious, desperate -- until he notices a slight imperfection -- a smudge on one of the mirrors; a faint finger print. He faces himself and pushes the mirror. It opens and he steps into another room that instantly overflows with Hope. He sees another smudge. He pushes the mirror and steps through it. Again it is the same -- he repeats -- again it is the same -- he repeats -- again it is the same -- he repeats -- again it is the same. On through the rooms of mirrors he moves, dragging a crowd of Hope with him. And then he stops. He notices something new: The slight whiff of glass cleaner.

In a panic he realizes the cleaning crew removes the smudges on the mirrors, the smudges that guide him! He could be trapped forever, surrounded by nothing but Audacious Hope, wandering amidst confusion and illusion. Quickly he pushes on, following the smudges, ignoring hope and seeking exit.

Oh, the relief when he pushes through the final mirror and steps into the bleak, subbasement lobby with the artificial palm trees and flickering neon light. There he finds the "Taxes and Trade Barriers Up" elevator -- a direct way out but with a catch, of course. He spots it immediately. To get taxes and trade barriers up, you must press the big red "economy down" button -- press it deep into the depression that goes below even the subbasement. He is relieved. If his situation turns desperate, he now knows a way out -- but only if he is forced to take it, of course.

He looks about and sees the entrance to The Chamber of New Deal Left Overs -- the very place he seeks. Surely it is an Aladdin's cave of hope and wonder. And a new way out. He enters.

The room is unimpressive -- plain and disappointing, in truth. Otto sees a shelf where the stock is drawn down. It is labeled "Civilian Conservation Corps/Youth Work Camps." He says to himself, "Rod Axle has reached for these cans of cant often." He picks up one of the remainders, which resembles a container of shaving foam. He shakes it. He pushes the button. He is impressed by what squirts out. "Still dispenses good, sweet smelling, meaningless lather -- and at not too great a cost!"

He sees the shelf of "Price Freeze" has recently emptied -- apparently all campaigns have drawn that one down. He notices a container the size of a dusty old can of institutional shredded salt pork. He picks it up. He likes the heft. "The contents seem substantial," he says. He brushes the dust off. "Why, it's Socialized Medicine!"

He reads the side of the can. "To open, complain incessantly about the high price of Alka-Seltzer. Demand that everyone with a Sexually Transmitted Disease have access to treatment with Mercury." He pauses. "Mercury?" He reads on, "Lower the price of Sulfur drugs, and ration!" Otto shakes his head. He puts the can back on the shelf. "Good thing we didn't socialize medicine in 1930's."

He spots an item on another shelf. "Ah, here we are! Rhetoric!" He picks up a can. It's incredibly light. He shakes it. All that issues forth is the sound of a few dried peas knocking about. "I hope no one trades his pig for this can. I think the Rhetoric is empty. Devoid of content. There is even less here than meets the ear."

What he next sees fills him with excitement. "Ah, there it is!" He approaches a large door that says "New Deal Cheese." He brushes away some cobwebs. He opens it. He barely looks in when he shouts "Oh my God!" and slams it shut. What he saw nearly gave him a heart attack. He quickly bars the door, muttering "the horror, the horror" as he does.

He steps away, hoping whatever happens in there stays in there, and bumps into a barrel. It looks like a huge wine cast with a cork stopper sticking out of it. The cast is labeled: Vintage Alphabet Stew. Below it a caution reads: "Significant Cant! Do not Decant until Prepared."

"Hmm," says Otto. "Alphabet stew. To feed the homeless? Must be piping hot stew, perfect for our children on a cold winter's day. Nutritious, I'll bet. I wonder what it tastes like? Delicious, I'm sure! But the sign says not to open until prepared. Well, it's been here so long it most be prepared by now. " He picks up a mallet that's by the barrel. "Should I," he says to himself, as he feels the weight of the mallet, "Should I decant the Alphabet stew?" He prepares to swing. But he stops. He thinks. He says, "But what if it refers to the candidate 'being prepared.' What if it means: Do not Decant if the Candidate can't!"

He considers this for a moment. "But I am prepared. I tell the crowds every day. And they believe. They believe that Senator Audacious Hope can. They believe I can Decant. Yes I can. I can Decant the canned cant! I can! I can! I can!" He works himself into a frenzy as he chants the magic words "I can!" And he swings the mallet and whacks off the cork stopper. And the stopper pops off the top.

And nothing happens. Except for a few bubbles that come out. And a little liquid. But the liquid seems to thicken and stiffen in the air. Audacious Hope examines it. He sticks three fingers into it. He twirls his fingers about a bit. And as he does he hears a low deep rumble from within, which grows louder and begins to vibrate the barrel. He pulls his finger away but Lo! The liquid clings to his hand like rubber cement. He pulls and it stretches. He pulls some more and it pulls back. The harder he pulls, the harder it pulls. And the barrel spits out the liquid, and the liquid stiffens. The barrel rumbles. And the barrel vibrates. And the barrel rocks back and forth.

And Otto Hope pulls himself toward the door. With all his might and all his energy and all his being he pulls himself away. Suddenly, the rubber-like strand snaps, and Otto tumbles into the doorway. He jumps to his feet just as the barrel explodes! He turns to flee into the Hall of Mirrors and into the Harold Ickes Amazing Maze that lies beyond but behold! Strands of red tape explode from the barrel and grab his legs and pull them out from under him. But still, yes he can! He can crawl toward the big red "Economy Down" button to turn on the "Taxes and Trade Barriers Up" Elevator. He can escape. He reaches for it. He smacks the floor just short of it. He rolls a potted plant over it. He struggles with all his strengthen to depress the economy down button -- to shove it into the depression. If only the red tape allows and surely it will! One more determined push it takes! One more he struggles to make!

The tape pulls him back. He uses his pocket knife to cut it, to free himself. But faster than he can cut, the tape ensnarls! He tries to deal with the Alphabet Stew. Hope screams, "Slash the DoD! Increase the H.U.D! Cut the N.S.A. Raise the F.I.C.A! Broaden the F.I.S.A. Sell the TVA!" He thought he was bargaining with fate. But when he mentioned selling the TVA, a thick strand of tape lashed around his neck like a bull whip and squeezed his throat.

"No, no," Otto croaks, "invest in the TVA! Invest in the TVA! Fully fund W.I.C! Fully fund, you fools! Fully Fund!" The tape pulls his body in, back toward the coagulating lard he loosed from the barrel. In his desperation Audacious Hope called out, "Subsidize mohair! Build bridges to nowhere!" He whimpers and struggles. "Nurse every child. Preserve every wild. Close every prison. Save every pigeon." But still the tentacles of tape drew him in. And his legs were sucked into the lard. "Milk every cow!" he crowed. But still it drew him in. Up to his waist! "Milk the rich!" he screamed. But still it sucked him in -- up to his shoulders. Then he shouted, "Milk every taxpayer!" But up to his chinny-chin-chin, he's in! And his last words are, "Every person. Milk every person!" But by then he was -- and is and ever shall be -- one with the lard.

He had come to that point too late. For the alphabet stew knew there are other candidates to be had. Even more willing, they would be, when they saw Audacious Hope consumed and canned in amber. They will come and look. Call it art and label it "Hope Sprung Eternal." They will see him frozen, looking as if he were about to laugh or maybe cry. But do not put it on public display! Once a month clean and polish the amber, to provide a clear view: for the elect and for the appointed and for the anointed -- but by appointment only.

Let us spare a moment to wonder: did Audacious Hope get to depress the big red Economy Down Button? Depress it into the subbasement floor's deep depression? Is the "Taxes and Trade Barriers Up" elevator headed for the highest floors? We must yet wonder: What did audacity come to in the end? What was its purpose and purchase?

The moral of this story, boys and girls: The government can indeed preserve Hope -- in amber. And there Hope will never grow old. And Hope will never die, though it will certainly never live. And Hope will never experience the rain. This, boys and girls, can be arranged.

THE END

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

They Like His Face

Peter Daou: Why on Earth Are Democrats Legitimizing and Empowering Rush Limbaugh?
I don't buy into this 'brilliant' strategy of elevating Rush Limbaugh in the hopes that it will tarnish Republicans.

Focus relentlessly on the disastrous Bush presidency to tarnish Republicans, yes.

Overturn every single illegal and unconstitutional Bush-era policy and show the country and the world that we're reclaiming the moral high ground, yes.

Implement bold strategies and use soaring rhetoric to inspire Americans, yes.

Hew fiercely to Democratic principles, reassert the greatness of our American identity, demonstrate the true meaning of liberalism, of progressivism, providing opportunity, seeking justice and fairness, helping those in need, yes.

Spend our resources healing the sick, feeding the hungry, lifting the poor, cleaning the planet, rather than on war and more war, yes.

But expand Rush Limbaugh's profile and platform? No.
Whose resources are they spending again? Oh. Right. Our resources.

The White House politicos want their electorate to think of Republicans as "well-to-do old white guys that don't give a rat's ass what happens to you" -- which is their view of Rush Limbaugh. Of course they would like to do this while getting Rush off the air before he gets, and keeps, another five million listeners.

Another problem: the image of old white guys might improve considerably in the near future. And Democrats not only care what happens to you, they'll tax the good stuff and cause a lot of the bad.

Monday, March 2, 2009

Irony becomes Ironic

Belmont Club » “A crisis of globalization”
It is supremely ironical that the response of some liberal ideologues is to simply to take the axe to what others regard as the safest tree in the forest.
I'm convinced that Irony is dead. It was taken out by the bullet meant for God. Instead, irony got plugged right between the "I" and the "Y". Oh, Irony is still allowed to operate in small and discrete matters -- it's the free ride when you've already paid, they say. But that future "free ride" for which you pay and pay and pay, but in the end ain't free and ain't even a ride? Where the whole outing turns into a long hike to a labor camp? That's an unintended consequence.

There is an Irony at the center of the Free Enterprise system: that people peacefully seeking a better life for themselves help produce a better life for everyone in society. There is an Irony at the center of Socialism: That smart, talented people who acquire power to use for the betterment of Society end up spreading misery. Now both these outcomes should be commonplace observations by now -- like the sun rising in the east and setting in the west. The only reason the results are ironic is we have to forget the last time it happened -- because the knowledge must be suppressed to allow the Social Welfare state to expand. So instead of being a literary construct, Irony, seemingly safely entombed in its mausoleum, has become a world historical force. I mean, ain't it ironic?

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Blame and Borrow Obama

Of course the media Pundits won't tell, but President Obama was quite ungracious in his speech tonight. He takes all the credit for a trillion dollars worth of wonderful spending that is in "The deficit we inherited." Apparently, if it weren't for George Bush's foresight, President Obama could not fix every problem in sight (and a lot of problems that you can't even see). Of course the Democrats were running Congress, which appropriates the money, when the deficit was created and Obama pretty much doubled it, so they inherited it from themselves.

The G.I. Bill got a big applause, as did graduating from high school (which is now a Patriotic Duty). A rather protectionist passage got big applause, while they sat on their hands when he mentioned the benefits of trade. He said the US invented the automobile: Karl Benz is now an American. That's the kind of history screw up that would have gotten Bush in trouble and got every German complaining in unison.

I'd give the speech a c+.

Personally, I think it was the influence of Andrea Mitchell.

Asia Times Online :: Asian news and current affairs
In reality, the economic problems of the Chinese are - as are the problems of all exporting nations around the world...the result of the loathsome Alan Greenspan creating all the unholy mountains of excess money and credit when he was chairman of the American Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006, which he infamously did to finance The Greatest Sin Of All (TGSOA), which is to allow the monstrous enlargement of government and to pay for huge increases in government programs, and for which Greenspan deserves to die in prison, alone, sick, vomiting up blood and hearing my voice ringing in his ears, "Suffer, you miserable bastard, as you have made so, so many billions of people suffer by your insane expansions of the money supply!"

And how did the horrid Alan Greenspan do all of that? Easy! His creating all that money and credit meant that all those trillions of new Treasury-debt dollars originally sprang into being as loans to the government, which it spent, and from there the dollars eventually went to pay for a trade deficit that ranges around US$800 billion Per Freaking Year (PFY)!

This meant that all those other countries had the trade surpluses that equalled our trade deficits, and all of those new dollars pouring into their countries necessitated similar monetary stupidity in those other countries, hurriedly creating more money to soak up those new dollars piling up in their banking system, increasing their money supplies in lockstep with us, lest their own currencies gain strength against the dollar and thus effectively raise prices to us, their huge, and essentially only, customer! Horrors! Hahahaha! We're all freaking morons!
In 1997 Alan Greenspan married Andrea Mitchell and came into frequent contact Katie Couric (Today's yesterday host) and the whole NBC news team. Before 1997, Alan Greenspan spoke of irrational exuberance in the stock market. After 1997, he became irrationally exuberant himself. This is what happens to a very smart guy who comes into Continuous Close Contact with a TV News Division (and one of their special op's people). Normal folk, who just watch them on the big screen (we've been undergoing screen inflation), will just become irrational.

Monday, February 23, 2009

A Flash from the Past

BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israel-Hamas arms embargo urged
Amnesty International has called for a freeze on arms sales to Israel and Palestinian groups such as Hamas following the recent Gaza conflict.
In 1940, when Stalin's Soviet Union was still aligned with Hitler, the Communist and their front organizations in the US supported the Neutrality Laws which prevented arms sales to both sides. From the Wikis:
The legacy of the Neutrality Acts in the 1930s was widely regarded as having been generally negative: they made no distinction between aggressor and victim, treating both equally as "belligerents"; and they limited the US government's ability to aid Britain against Nazi Germany. The acts were largely repealed in 1941, in the face of German submarine attacks and the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.

Meanwhile, Hitler was getting war material from Stalin. The fact that Hitler betrayed Stalin (before Stalin could betray him) no doubt helped turn opinion on the left.

The goal here is to make it harder for Isreal to defend itself. Hamas will continue to get all the arms it needs. Is the PLO a group like Hamas? The article does not say. They do terror, too, don't they?

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Squander Taxes? Investor Goodwill? Why not! But beware the Tut-tut from Tutu.

BBC NEWS | Americas | Tutu urges Obama apology on Iraq
Archbishop Desmond Tutu has warned Barack Obama of the risk of squandering the goodwill he says the US president's election has generated.

In an article for BBC News, he says it would be "wonderful" if Mr Obama apologised for the invasion of Iraq.


Why don't he just issue a blanket apology? In fact, make it a quilt. We can do "an apology quilt" on the mall. We'll have a patch for everyone we've offended -- all six billion of them (lately we've even been offending me, which is hard to do!).

Keep your rights close. Keep your human rights lawyer even closer.

BBC NEWS | South Asia | 'No US rights' for Bagram inmates
The move has disappointed human rights lawyers who had hoped the Obama administration would take a different line to that of George W Bush.
So now we can send the Gitmo bad-boys to Bagram. Maybe put the plane on autopilot and have it crash into the mountainside. Oops. See, the autopilot never learned how to land. Said it didn't need to know. "Just show me how to fly into a mountain," is what it said. This autopilot was acting strange, but its lawyer wouldn't let us ground it. Sorry. 

And those US rights?  They're there for us, just like it says.

That's the Chicago way.

Friday, February 20, 2009

Enough of this Kabuki Krap.

BBC NEWS | Asia-Pacific | Clinton urges N Korean dialogue
Hillary Clinton has warned North Korea relations with the US will not improve until it engages in dialogue with South Korea and ends its nuclear ambitions.
I would do more than urge dial-a-ogue. I would write it. I would have North Korea say: "I end my nuclear ambitions." I would then have them say, "I will now make nice-nice to South Korea!" And then I would give them a trillion dollars (trillion being the new billion). In this way I would get the six-pack party talks back on track. We'll have better beer that's less bitter and no more whine! Instead of plain pretzels in our logic I would use cheese stuffed Combos. And tell the Norks: no more playing poker with marked decks! It's just not fair and takes the fun out of it because they're winning all the time.

I would straighten that mess out. That's what I'd do.

Gee, it feels good to be in the opposition.

Sunday, February 15, 2009

It's a fusion of Ranchero and the Blues.

If I read right, President Obama's speeches about the current state of the US economy are now translated into Spanish and set to music.

BBC NEWS | Americas | US uses songs to deter immigrants
They are the new secret weapon of the US Border Patrol: toe-tapping ballads with Spanish lyrics that tell of the risks of trying to cross illegally into the US from Mexico.
Bottom line: First you die and then you can't find a job.