Tuesday, June 13, 2023

Favorable Indictments

Peter Zeihan asks: How Will Donald Trump's New Indictment(s) Impact the Election?

Peter thinks the various indictments will not prevent The Donald from getting the nomination but will prevent the Republicans from winning in 2024 because "swing voters" will swing away. This parallels the thinking from 2015. The DC crowd thought they could spend a lot of time attacking The Donald and he would get the nomination because of their attacks (even they know they are disliked). They figured they would clobber him among the swing voters in 2016, who hate them so much less. It didn't quite work out that way.

In 2020, through a combination of Covid Lockdowns, NGO-sponsored riots about race, Helicopter Money and Helicopter Ballots, the DC establishment beat The Donald. Still, he got 10 million more votes than he got in 2016. 

Riots and Lockdowns are off the table for 2024 because such systematic destruction will blow back on Biden.  Helicopter money will likely cause double-digit inflation. In other presentations, Peter Zeihan says that poor grain harvest will increase food prices. Will higher food prices affect the ballot harvest?

It seems Joe Biden got millions from Ukraine when he was V.P., which is why they impeached Donald Trump (the impeachment involved the "good" mishandling of classified material on the part of DC insiders). The money was well spent on Ukraine's part (it's pay to play with HIMARS) but makes Joe's motives for supporting them to the hilt less than pure. I suppose he could say, "I took a lot of money from the Chinese but look how I'm screwing with them!" Vote for Joe, he won't stay bought and if he does, they'll indict Trump.

In 1988 I thought Joe might make a good president and then he stole the biography of the UK Labour Party Leader (Neil Kinnock, I believe it was). I thought it a bad choice of biographies to steal. Of course, in 1992 Jerry Brown, the Progressive California governor, supported a 13 percent flat Federal Income Tax (including the Social Security tax) so...people change (or grow, in the case of a Progressive).

During his first term, the DC crowd actively worked to frame Donald Trump as a Russian spy, the type of thing horrible people do. DC is full of awful people. It attracts manipulative, self-dealing sociopaths -- and that's just the journalists. I don't expect it to improve. But I'll vote for The Donald anyways.

Saturday, June 10, 2023

The Inditments should have been Leaked

The Trump indictments about mishandling classified material should have been classified as Ultra top-secret and then leaked to the New York Times. The source would remain anonymous. This person is not authorized to mishandle these top-secret documents about mishandling top-secret documents. You see, the undercover source leaked the documents to an undercover reporter who was under the same cover and in the same bed. As part of the resulting brouhaha, dotGov throws a big investigation to find the culprit who's not authorized to mishandle the classified material about mishandling classified material. The years-long investigation will go nowhere because why would it. Meanwhile, the New York Times will editorialize about how Trump mishandled documents he had previously declassified and kept locked up.

Of course, some secrets should be kept secret. For instance, the secret that Joe Biden is corrupt. This is purely a "need to know," and only the people actually paying the bribes (and enabling officials and journalists) need to know. So when President Trump's Ultra top-secret phone call with Ukrainian President Zelensky -- where Biden's corruption was touched on -- was leaked by someone not authorized to leak it, Trump was impeached. Obviously, Trump had no "need to know" of Biden's corruption. In any case, it was the best five-million Ukraine ever spent.  It's pay to play -- with HIMARS.

When Biden announced his Presidential bid not long after Trump took office, I said it was meant to keep corruption indictments at bay.  In 2017 even the mainstream media was reporting on his corruption as Vice President. Declaring his candidacy as the Democratic Party hopeful was a way to shut them up and get the "respected media" to actively suppress a story that would cast the entire Democratic party in a bad light. So I don't think Dr. Jill will allow Biden to gracefully bow out after one term and give up this anti-indictment superpower.

Tuesday, June 6, 2023

How Reagan Ruined Everything

Fast-talking lawyer Leeja Miller makes the case against Ronnie. It's not the massive concentration of power in Washington D.C. that's the problem: it's the partial slowdown to that process caused by RR. It reminds me of how the Democrats successfully ran against Herbert Hoover for fifty years. Trying the same trick with Reagan might not work as well.

Lawyers concentrate on winning the argument rather than solving the problem, because by winning the argument they have solved the problem -- their problem, which is winning the argument. Unfortunately, despite all the argument-winning, the crisis persists -- an underfunded and underpowered government sector.

I remember when the Federal government had to function on a meager nine-hundred billion dollars a year -- no wonder it couldn't make everything affordable in a sustainable manner! It was argued that by increasing that amount to a mere one trillion (a "more" that actually sounds like "less") we would solve this persistent funding shortfall. But did it? No! Now some people actually argue that seven trillion a year should be enough (that's 7,000 billion dollars). Really? With so much persistent want in the country (especially among lawyers and lobbyists), how will that solve the problem? To hell with trickle-down! I'm for tinkle-upon economics! Who doesn't want to feel that warm flow of federal dollars running down their back?

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Poor Wandering Wonderer -- True Love Built on Lies.

Act II, Scene 1, of the Prodigals of Penance. Act I, Scene 1, is here.

I continue my foray into Comic Lite-Opera Reality. The work is now the attempted merger of Hamlet and Blazing Saddles (with a bit of Pinocchio thrown in), done in the spirit of Gilbert and Sullivan! Below, Sad Poppins mentions the Piltdown Man, an evolutionary "missing link" bone hoax that dragged on for 40 years. Hamlet sings of the Kinsey Report, a human sexuality study so flawed that even Wikipedia has a hard time defending it.

The story so far: The World Leaders and hangers-on have danced offstage. Hamlet Omlet and Sad Poppins are about to further their relationship. Hamlet has uncovered many flaws in the "science" funded by Artful Shortseller, the world's richest man. He senses the real purpose of his grant is to "paper over" the inadequacies he's found. Sad Poppins feels it would be best if he fulfills his role and, what the heck, just cash the check.

ACT II, SCENE 1: Poor Wandering Wonderer.

(Shrotseller's Estate: SAD POPPINS stands alone in the garden. HAMLET OMLET enters, walking in a seeming trance.)

HAMLET OMLET
They've created such a racket,
I can hardly work.
And my work...is hardly...worth it.

SAD POPPINS (watching him, sings)
Poor Wandering Wonderer
Wondering Where to Wan-der!
You don't think like the rest.
Your head is a mess,
So full of thoughts --
They drip out like snot...
(approaches Hamlet)
You are the studier of studies.
Who studies, the studies, in Shortseller's study.
Your task is incomplete--

HAMLET OMLET
Like rain turning to sleet.
(steps towards her)
And you're the activist child.
The bold little scold,
With the winning frown.

SAD
I thought the world would let me down.
The Earth, not be around.
But as I've grown
(shows herself off a bit)
Into my own --
I found it really weird!
The planet, you see, is still here!

HAMLET OMLET
By eliminating the Earth,
With all its dirt,
We could eliminate our fears.
(thoughtfully, strolling)
Or we could simply go extinct,
And no longer have to think.

SAD POPPINS (following)
Poor Wandering Wonderer
Wondering Where to Wan-der.
You don't think like the rest.
Your head is a mess.
So full of thoughts
They drip out like snot.

HAMLET OMLET(distressed)
I simply cannot lie.
It is just too hard to disguise.
When I fabricate,
Right out of the gate,
(indicates his groin area)
It gets hard!
As the tension goes up,
My ha-ha-heart thumps!
(pounds his chest)
The blood in my veins
Feels the added strain.
The blood my heart pumps 
Flows into my consider-able stump!
 
And it grows, grows, grows --
Like some elongated nose,
Or an acorn into an oak.
It happens at a stroke!
It's not just unseemly, you see,
But po-tential-ly!
Most un-semen-ly...
(walks)
Yes, I'm stilted...
By this pilted...
Woody, wood-pecker.

SAD POPPINS (injects)
Like Pinocchio in a pinch.
Or, the Pilt-down Man!
A "find" that was a Scientific Scam -- 
With the wrong bone
In the wrong place:
A most potent -- disgrace. 

HAMLET OMLET
Lying's not a sport,
Like some Kinsey Report.
Whenever I lie,
(indicates his groin, distressed)
It gets hard against my fly!
I can't lie, I can't lie, I can't lie.
(walks)

SAD POPPINS
Oh, Poor Wandering Wonderer,
Woody in a wood of lies!
I am sorry for you!
'Cause your own sorrow won't do.
You don't think like the rest.
Your head's such a mess.
So full of thoughts,
They drip out like snot!
(thinks, taps his shoulder)
If only you were a woman.
The problem with your wood
Would disappear!
If only you could,
Eliminate the wood!

HAMLET OMLET
That sounds fantastic,
but just...a little...drastic.

SAD POPPINS (agrees)
Sub-optimal, yes,
But if you just wore a dress...
You could easily skirt the truth.
Or turn your back,
On in-convenient facts.
But still...

HAMLET OMLET
I'll wear a kilt!
I could present an address...
In a kilt, not a dress.
I could turn my back,
As I speak with great tact,
Over...my...shoulder?

SAD POPPINS
Here's an act -- that's bolder.
(Takes his hand)
Simply lie with me!
If you lie with me,
Your lies will be disguised, by me!
You simply pretend
We're in love, without end!
In Love with a fire,
Of burning -- lustful desire.
And: 
No one will be the wiser.
We could lie, lie, lie, together.
No one would know any better.
 
HAMLET OMLET(confused)
In truth, I am getting woody.
I should return to my studies.
I could be me-too'ed
Because I am woody for you...
I really can't lie...
As I look into your -- lovely, eyes...
(turns)
But I fear my career --
Could dissolve in your tears.
(walks away)

SAD POPPINS (follows him)
Poor wandering woody one!
What wonderous lies lie ahead!
Don't fear for your career.
You'll be a believable steer, 
If you lie, lie, lie -- with me.

(Sounds from off stages)

DANCING BANKERS
Hrumph, Hrumph -- Hrumph, Hrumph, Hrumph.

SAD POPPINS
You cannot stay.
Artful Shortseller
Is on his way.
We'll meet after dark.

HAMLET OMLET
And wonderful lies
We can con-cock!
Con-con, concoct. 

(As Hamlet Omlet leaves, Artful Shortseller enters).

ART SHORTSELLER (to the audience)
He's such a poor liar.
He needs to retire.
My estate is built
On a house of cards.
One jilt from that joker...
And...
 
Oh, forsooth and forsaken!
My empire shaken!
Imagine, a jerk like that,
Bringing about my total collapse!
I suppose he would say,
He means well, OK.
Well, I have a "mean well"
For him.
(maniacal laugh, steps to the side for...)

DANCING BANKERS (Marching on stage)
Hrumph, Hrumph -- Hrumph, Hrumph, Hrumph.

ART
Now the Bankers want their say.
They mean well, too,
It should be a tattoo. 
Let them implore.
I'll ignore.
ACT II SCENE 2

(The Central Banker leads The Dancing Bankers on stage. They are dressed for the Beach. The Central Banker gets a little rough treatment from the others. He's shoved to center stage.)

CENTRAL BANKER (addresses the audience)
This is The World Conference...
That will Solve...
Your Problems...
In One Foul Swipe.
(speaks clearly)
You see, all your problems are ours;
All our problems are yours.
And you are our problem.
(Indicates the surroundings) 
We're at the home 
Of the World's Richest man.
Artful Shortseller's estate, Eden!
 
DANCING BANKERS (An echoing murmur)
Eden, Eden, Eden...
 
CENTRAL BANKER 
It's his own state!
An island all its own.
An island that he owns. Eden.
 
DANCING BANKERS
Eden, Eden, Eden...
 
CENTRAL BANKER
I'm the Central Banker,
I don't get many thanks
When the other banks
(indicates the others)
Need a spank:
That Great Current of Currency,
Upon which they depend --
Is Currently Curtailed!
If not totally at an end. 
It flowed through their vaults
And its lack, now felt, is my fault
  
(The band picks up with a thumping, almost pounding, beat. The Dancing Bankers surround the Central Banker. They sing to the tune of Sgt. Peppers Lonely Hearts Club Band)

World Class Dancing, Banker Band

THE DANCING BANKERS (To the central banker, with loud reproach)
It was a hundred years ago!
When you really did steal the show!
People's money was never the same,
As you played your curren-cy game.
When interest rates you amend
To bring easy money to an end... 
After we've done so much good,
By gutting their neighborhoods!
We're the World Class Dancing, Banker Band!

CENTRAL BANKER (to the audience)
Their Animal Spirits were on a lark,
But the funny-money, once in "drive,"
Is now in "park."

THE DANCING BANKERS (Explaining)
We're good citizens of the World!
With finances in a swirl.
Speculators cause much pain,
As their loans go down the drain.
So now we're il-liquid.
Lacking the reserves, we should...
(to the central banker)
So we want you to understand,
We'd like you to give a hand...
To the Empty Pockets, Bankster, Bah-an-d!
 
CENTRAL BANKER
They want to restart the game.
With me providing the gains...
a-gain.
The losses we'll spread about,
Like lots of vacant shops. 

(The Dancing Bankers push the Central Banker out of the way.)

CENTRAL BANKER
Don't Panic at the Picnic!

(The orchestra is back to horn tooting)

DANCING BANKERS (Pace quickens, to the Audience, upset)
With those problems, you're on your own!
So kindly get off the phone!
We're awfully short of cash!
We're bankers who've lost their stash!
Our institution's got the runs!
It's playing havoc with the sums!
...um...um...um-m-m.
 
 (A female banker sweetly changes the tune)
You're such love-ly depositors --
You really are our kind --
You're such love-ly depositors,
Sit back and watch your fortune grow!
Sit back and watch it grow!
 
 (The rest return to firm declarations)
Your bankruptcy's on us!
But our Bankruptcy's on you!
We're whales too big to fail!
So you have to cover our tail!
 
( Pause, as the female banket again changes the tune)
You're such lovely homeowners,
With mortgages to fill.
We'd like to take your homes with us.
We'd love to take your homes!
 
 (The rest)
Yes, we'd rather issue demands
But really do need a hand!
So we'll issue our appeal,
To the man who really steals...
The show, when you have to show!
The assets that cover your ass!
We've come to find him here!
Our savior of the year --
(slowly, with begging hands)
Art...ful...Short...sell-er...
(They trail off...as the orchestra changes tempo to blues/jazz, with snare drums. The Central Banker moves to center stage. He puts his sunglasses on and snaps his fingers. Sings to the tune of Mack the Knife.)

The Shortseller Song
CENTRAL BANKER (His best Bobby Darin Blues)
Oh, Financial sharks,
Prowl the seas, babes.
And they'll feed in --
Market waves.
They have such teeth -- dear!
If you could see them!
They're ru-by, ruby-red.
 
When red ink's spilled
By Cor-po-rate shills--
My-little-darlings don't-you-know!
So much gore is,
On the market floor.
But on Shortseller, there's not the stink, babe
Of all...your -- all your red ink!

Your pension fund --
So you think, dears --
Bought juicy steaks,
With your stake!
Till Artful wields his -- skillful scalpel.
Leaving bare bones, upon your plate.

(Art enters and marches to center stage. Exudes calm as the Central Banker slinks off)

DANCING BANKERS
Artful, Artful, Artful...
The Mean Well Song
ART (he brings the tempo down)
There's no reason for alarm.
Every reason, to be calm.
We're in the eye of every storm,
And here, calm is the norm.
Your problem is but a pimple.
The solution is -- quite simple! 
 (Sways as he sings)
Just mean well, if you mean well,
Then everything will seem well!
If you mean well, then you'll be well,
No one will be mean to you!
If you mean well in all that you do.
They'll never blame you--
When they've been royally screwed...
If you're mean, mean, mean,
You want to be seen as -- well meaning.
 
DANCING BANKERS (With relief)
They can't attack good intentions.
Even when these intentions are...
An...invention.
(swaying while figuring it out
If it seems...well,
Like we mean well,
Then the middling mean...that's sits inbetween,
The well-off...and the off-well...
Will think that we're just swell.
(as they dance off-stage)
When we're mean-mean-mean,
No matter how mean we may seem...
If we're all called well-meaning,
Well meaning is how we'll be seeming!
 
ART (calls after them)
Mean-well in all your deeds!
(laughs, to the audience)
For the mean-well
Is a deep well, indeed!
(laughs maniacally)

END OF SCENE
 

Knowing Gnosticism

 TIK History: The REAL Religion Behind National Socialism is Gnosticism. TIK explains what that is.

To understand politics progressive politics you need to understand Gnosticism and what I call "the deeper truth" that only a select group can perceive and is unavailable to the ignorant masses.  It's OK to lie and distort when talking to the rubes, as long as those lies conform to "the deeper truth" and move events in the right direction. Framing Donald Trump as a Russian spy was not a lie, it was just a way of conveying the deeper truth that Donald Trump was a threat to the progressive movement that is "moving" to a better future. The frame job was a way of conveying that truth to the superstitious rabble, who suffer from false patriotism.  True American Patriots are not loyal to the flawed status quo but to a future America washed clean of the sins of the past and present.

The left will often champion people who are guilty of crimes.  This confused me for a time. Then I would learn that their reasoning for why the person should be set free was, well, esoteric. Finally, it occurred to me that anyone can rally around an innocent person but it will take a potential convert to the movement to promote the cause of the esoterically innocent -- in other words, when he really did shoot the deputy.

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Inflatable Nation

Even a Recession Might Not Tame Inflation

Is it really that bad? Nah, it's worse. It's that "slowly, slowly all at once" problem.

Dealing with US inflation needs to account for the foreign entities that hold so many dollars for purposes that don't often align with our own (our declared enemies have a lot of it). Basically, the dollars will be used in a mercantilist manner to further the interest of these rulers -- often at the expense of the average American worker.

For the moment the dollar won't be replaced in international trade because it's backed by US real estate. We don't like the CCP buying American farmland in "State of Rode Island" sized batches, but the possibility of doing that in a pinch is a big attraction for the dollar (and land is an excellent inflation hedge). If we say, "No more of that, you'll have to buy Fords instead," then their dollars will flood back into the US to buy land and other assets while they still can. At this point, the world will stop trading its goods for our debt.

As international trade collapses, there's less need for US debt as "good" collateral for trade among third-party nations. With foreigners less willing to swap their goods for our debt, the supply of goods drys up just as more dollars race into the domestic market, sparking more asset inflation but not job creation. This likely results in high-interest rates to encourage foreigners to hold onto their bonds. Meanwhile, the Fed funds the government through the printing press and further fuels inflation.

Inflation could be used to lower the burden of the $31 trillion National Debt -- if we balanced the budget. But why do that if you can sell more and more debt at near-zero rates with foreigners willing to buy a lot of it? Well, things that can't go on forever, won't -- and we are heading for a wall of won't (so prepare a bolthole in New Zealand).

Monday, April 3, 2023

The Winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election Is...

Peter Zeihan makes his prediction for 2024 and he sees a rematch between Trump and Biden with a Biden win because swing voters such as Peter will go for the Democrats.

In 2016 I did not want Trump to get the nomination (I thought he was a moderate Democrat) but I told friends that the media did. By attacking Trump they could raise his numbers among the Republican base that hates the left-leaning media.  Meanwhile, their attacks would turn Peter Zeihan against Trump for the general election, ushering in large Democratic majorities. There weren't enough Peters, so it didn't quite work out that way.

There is an insider/outsider dynamic in presidential races -- which is why governors often make good candidates. In 2016 Trump was an outsider. In 2020 he stood onstage with a bunch of Washington insiders while the nation closed down -- plus it's hard for any president to escape responsibility for things that go wrong, even if it's caused by his political enemies (ie, mostly peaceful riots, etc).

For 2024 we see the media and the Democrats running the 2016 strategy. They've turned the race into the quintessential outsider running against the quintessential insider. The American people face only one political question: do you want everything in the nation run by a selected group of people in Washington D.C., plus their partners on  Wallstreet, in Silicon Valley, and that whole Hollywood/Davos globalist "you will own nothing and be happy or else" community.  I call this result "feudalism with the right people in charge." All the other issues are there to disguise that central issue. If Trump and the Republicans stay focused on that one question, they stand an excellent chance.