Confidence

Political Radar: Palin Guarantees Win in Pennsylvania

ABC News' Imtiyaz Delawala reports: Near the hometown of Hall of Fame quarterback Joe Namath, Republican vice presidential nominee Gov. Sarah Palin guaranteed a come-from-behind victory for the McCain-Palin ticket in Pennsylvania.

She is so sure they will carry the state that she'll wager those ruby red slippers the RNC gave her.

North Pole, South Pole, Times poll, TIPP poll

On Nova (PBS) the other night they described a theory of parallel universes which says anything that can possibly happen will happen. It reminded me of this election and those polls.

IBDeditorials.com: IBD/TIPP Economic, Presidential Election, and Political Polls -- IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Eleven

McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

But the New York Times has Sen. Obama at plus 13 (52-39).

Why are these polls describing two completely different elections? Perhaps the answer can be found among the undecideds. I think all the polls measure "committed voters" accurately. But the Investor Business Daily poll has close 12 percent undecided. If the pollster puts additional pressure on the voter to "decide right now," they break for Obama. This may accurately reflect what they will do on election day, or it may accurately reflect what they do do when talking to a stranger who has their phone number -- give that person the answer that person wants to hear. If they represent a major news organization, 70 perecent of the people will assume the answer is "Obama."

Which way muse

My Way News - AP presidential poll: Race tightens in final weeks

The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain's "Joe the plumber" analogy struck a chord.

Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had surged to a seven-point lead over McCain, lifted by voters who thought the Democrat was better suited to lead the nation through its sudden economic crisis.

Interesting. In the same period that the AP poll swung six points towards McCain, the Zogby poll has swung eight points toward Obama (to Obama +10). They must have swapped call lists or something.

I said a few weeks ago that if McCain pulls a win out we would have to place the entire Main Stream Media and the rest of the Democratic Party on Suicide watch. We might need to add pollsters to the group as well.

A World Crisis of Choice Looms for the US

Someone should tell Joe Biden, "It's the economy, stupid!" But stupid Joe, God bless him, decides he has just got to change the subject from "market meltdown" to "World attacks US when Barry takes over!" This from ABC News:

“Mark my words,” the Democratic vice presidential nominee warned at the second of his two Seattle fundraisers Sunday. “It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. We’re about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here if you don’t remember anything else I said. Watch, we’re gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.”

“I can give you at least four or five scenarios from where it might originate,” Biden said to Emerald City supporters, mentioning the Middle East and Russia as possibilities. “And he’s gonna need help. And the kind of help he’s gonna need is, he’s gonna need you - not financially to help him - we’re gonna need you to use your influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it’s not gonna be apparent initially, it’s not gonna be apparent that we’re right.”

No Kidding. But what if our judgment tells us you're really wrong? At that point, ain't it patriotic to work with all our heart and all our soul to undermine the policy? You know, like Barack Obama and the war in Iraq. Slow Joe goes on:

"There are gonna be a lot of you who want to go, 'Whoa, wait a minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision'," Biden continued. "Because if you think the decision is sound when they're made, which I believe you will when they're made, they're not likely to be as popular as they are sound. Because if they're popular, they're probably not sound."

Kinda like the surge in Iraq after the unsound Dem's declared the war there lost.

To sum up what Obama's foreign policy expert said, if America chooses the young and inexperienced Sen. Obama, America will choose a major crisis with potential dire consequences for the nation and the world. Interestingly, Joe isn't asking for patience and support during this anticipated "crisis of choice" from the American people at large -- he's taking that for granted. No, he's asking for support from Obama's own supporters, who worked so hard to undermine the Iraq war. And, given the record, why wouldn't he doubt support would be forthcoming or long lasting?

So according to his future VP, a year from now President Obama could well be trying to Spread the Wealth and fight a World War while his own party abandons him and he has to join the Republicans. Or President Obama could simply capitulate. And Joe Biden can watch it all and say "told ya."

Isn't the better choice not the choose this "Crisis of Choice" in the first place? Why not simply vote for John McCain?

UPDATE: Is Joe stupid like a fox? A different take.

What did Joe do and when did he do it?

What I want to know about Joe the Plumber is:

• Did his boss ever blowup the Pentagon?
• Did he ever do work for a slum lord who defrauded the government?
• Did that slum lord help him buy his house?
• Has he ever supped with bank robbers and murderers?
• Has he lived in a corrupt political environment and never criticized it -- but used it to get ahead?

And by all means, let's have a look at his school records and past alliances.


WBIR.com | Knoxville, TN | McCain speaks with Joe the Plumber

Earlier today, McCain charged that Obama and his campaign have been attacking Wurzelbacher. In fact, Obama and Joe Biden have attacked McCain for portraying Wurzelbacher as representative of most blue-collar workers.

Of course if he a played a blue collar worker on TV he'd support Sen. Obama -- and that would be important. But what's important about Joe is that he asked Sen. Obama to explain an obvious point in his tax plan and the Senator could not do it: instead, he searched in vain for a suitable talking point and potentially screwed the pooch by letting the mask slip. But not to worry, the press will screw the pooch for him.

So the Obama Campaign don't have to attack Joe (though they have). They got the guard dog press to do it for them. After all, the "mainstream press" is just an extension of the Obama Campaign.

Oh the smirk on O's face

Instapundit.com -

WHAT'S WRONG with fighting for plumbers?

Obama Mocks Joe the Plumber, Crowd Laughs

Old Joe has gotten under Sen. Obama's skin. A plumber! "How many plumbers you know making a quarter million a year!?!"

He wants to make a quarter million, O, he does not make it now. How many blue collar guys (and gals) want to make a quarter million? In Ohio I'd say it's everyone who makes less.

Are they still starving in Ireland?

Former UN chief mulls 'phenomenal' Obama presidency

A US presidential poll victory for Barack Obama would be "phenomenal," former UN chief Kofi Annan said Thursday, adding that whoever wins needs to learn the lessons of the last eight years.

Speaking at a conference on hunger in Ireland, he underlined the need for the United States to work in "partnership" with the rest of the world.

A conference on "hunger in Ireland?" Apparently we have to send food to the Irish -- again. Will they accept Franken food? I guess the lesson of the last eight years was: store grain. We'll need it for the next Eight years.